رهیافت انقلاب اسلامی

رهیافت انقلاب اسلامی

سیاست کربن‌زدایی جهانی و جایگاه ایران در نظم نوین تجاری؛ بازتولید نابرابری در تجارت بین‌الملل

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکتری حقوق بین الملل، دانشگاه تهران، پردیس البرز، تهران، ایران
2 دانشیار گروه حقوق عمومی دانشکده حقوق و علوم سیاسی دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران
3 استاد گروه حقوق بین الملل، دانشکده حقوق و علوم سیاسی دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران
چکیده
سیاست کربن‌زدایی جهانی در سال‌های اخیر از یک پروژه زیست‌محیطی به یک قاعده تنظیم‌گر در تجارت بین‌الملل تبدیل شده است؛ قاعده‌ای که از طریق ابزارهایی مانند سازوکار تعدیل مرزی کربن، استانداردهای تولید و پیوند با نظام‌های قیمت گذاری کربن، به‌طور مستقیم بر رقابت، دسترسی به بازار و زنجیره‌های ارزش اثر می‌گذارد. مسئله اصلی این پژوهش آن است که این تحول نهادی چگونه به بازتولید نابرابری در تجارت بین‌الملل می‌انجامد و جایگاه ایران در نظم نوین تجاری کربن‌زدا چگونه صورت‌بندی می‌شود. فرضیه تحقیق بر این مبنا استوار است که کربن‌زدایی، به‌دلیل نامتقارن بودن ظرفیت‌های نهادی، فناورانه و داده‌ای کشورها، نه‌تنها شکاف‌های موجود را کاهش نمی‌دهد، بلکه می‌تواند آنها را تشدید کند و ایران را در موقعیتی حاشیه‌ای قرار دهد. روش پژوهش کیفی و مبتنی بر تحلیل اسنادی، تحلیل حقوقینهادی قواعد تجارت و اقلیم، و استفاده از داده‌های ثانویه معتبر بین‌المللی است. یافته‌ها نشان می‌دهد که ترکیب ساختار انرژی‌محور اقتصاد ایران، فقدان تعهد الزام‌آور اقلیمی و محدودیت‌های نهادی، ظرفیت تطبیق ایران با قواعد تجارت سبز را کاهش داده و سناریوهای آینده را بیش از آنکه تابع انتخاب‌های داوطلبانه باشند، به محدودیت‌های ساختاری وابسته کرده است.
کلیدواژه‌ها

          Ata, B. (2024). Regional level disparities and the driving forces of energy consumption and CO2 emissions in the residential sector of Iran (Doctoral dissertation, Debreceni Egyetem (Hungary).
2-      Baroncini, E. (2025). Promoting and Enforcing Sustainability: The Dispute Settlement Practice in the New Generation of EU Trade Agreements. ARCHIVIO GIURIDICO FILIPPO SERAFINI, 4(1), 1-43.
3-      Corvalan, A., Querubin, P., & Vicente, S. (2020). The political class and redistributive policies. Journal of the European Economic Association, 18(1), 1-48.
4-      Council of the European Union. (2025, June 18). Carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM): Council and Parliament strike a deal on its simplification. https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2025/06/18/carbon-border-adjustment-mechanism-cbam-council-and-parliament-strike-a-deal-on-its-simplification/?
5-      de Melo, J. (2011). Climate Change Policies and the World Trading System (No. B37). FERDI Policy Brief.
6-      Dellink, R., Hwang, H., Lanzi, E., & Chateau, J. (2017). International trade consequences of climate change.
7-      European Commission. (2023). Fit for 55: Delivering on the proposals. https://commission.europa.eu/topics/climate-action/delivering-european-green-deal/fit-55-delivering-proposals_en?
8-      European Commission. (2025, October 20). Officially published: Simplifications for the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM). https://taxation-customs.ec.europa.eu/news/officially-published-simplifications-carbon-border-adjustment-mechanism-cbam-2025-10-20_en?
9-      European Commission. (n.d.). Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism. https://taxation-customs.ec.europa.eu/carbon-border-adjustment-mechanism_en?
10-              Fang, M. M. (2025). In Pursuit of Decarbonization: The European Union Batteries Regulation and the World Trade Organization Law. In The WTO as Major Driver of Sustainable Development and Its Reform Process (pp. 175-185). Bologna University Press.
11-              Farrokhi, F., & Lashkaripour, A. (2025). Can trade policy mitigate climate change?. Econometrica, 93(5), 1561-1599.
12-              Galeotti, M., & Kemfert, C. (2004). Interactions between climate and trade policies: a survey. J. World Trade, 38, 701.
13-              Hasanbeigi, A., Springer, C., & Chobthiangtham, P. (2025). The Impact of the EU CBAM on Global Steel Trade.
14-              International Energy Agency. (2023). Energy Technology Perspectives 2023. IEA. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/a86b480e-2b03-4e25-bae1-da1395e0b620/EnergyTechnologyPerspectives2023.pdf
15-              Keohane, R. O., & Victor, D. G. (2011). The regime complex for climate change. Perspectives on politics, 9(1), 7-23.
16-              Leal-Arcas, R. (2019). Trade redemption: How trade agreements can help decarbonize the economy. The European Union Renewable Energy Transition, Wolters Kluwer, 77-125.
17-              Peñasco, C., Anadón, L. D., & Verdolini, E. (2021). Systematic review of the outcomes and trade-offs of ten types of decarbonization policy instruments. Nature Climate Change, 11(3), 257-265.
18-              Regulation (EU) 2023/956 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 10 May 2023 establishing a carbon border adjustment mechanism. (2023). Official Journal of the European Union. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2023/956/oj/eng?
19-              Rey, J. R. C., Mateos-Pedrero, C., Longo, A., Rijo, B., Brito, P., Ferreira, P., & Nobre, C. (2024). Renewable hydrogen from biomass: technological pathways and economic perspectives. Energies, 17(14), 3530.
20-              Taylor, M. S., & Copeland, B. R. (2013). Trade and the environment: theory and evidence. Princeton University Press.
21-              Trujillo, E. (2018). Trade Considerations for Decarbonization Strategies.
22-              Van Asselt, H. (2017). Climate change and trade policy interactions: Implications of regionalism. OECD Trade and Environment Working Papers, 2017(3), 0_1.
23-              Weber, C. L., & Peters, G. P. (2009). Climate change policy and international trade: Policy considerations in the US. Energy Policy, 37(2), 432-440.
24-              World Bank Group. (2024). Iran, Islamic Rep. – Trade summary. World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS).
https://wits.worldbank.org/countrysnapshot/IRN
25-              World Bank Group. (2024). Iran, Islamic Rep. trade summary and partners data. WITS – World Integrated Trade Solution. https://wits.worldbank.org/countrysnapshot/IRN
26-           Yamano, N. (2025). The potential effects of the EU CBAM along the supply chain. OECD. https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/publications/reports/2025/01/carbon-border-adjustments_b9049067/e8c3d060-en.pdf?
References [In Persian]
Ata, B. (2024). Regional level disparities and the driving forces of energy consumption and CO2 emissions in the residential sector of Iran (Doctoral dissertation, Debreceni Egyetem (Hungary).
Baroncini, E. (2025). Promoting and Enforcing Sustainability: The Dispute Settlement Practice in the New Generation of EU Trade Agreements. ARCHIVIO GIURIDICO FILIPPO SERAFINI, 4(1), 1-43.
Corvalan, A., Querubin, P., & Vicente, S. (2020). The political class and redistributive policies. Journal of the European Economic Association, 18(1), 1-48.
Council of the European Union. (2025, June 18). Carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM): Council and Parliament strike a deal on its simplification. https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2025/06/18/carbon-border-adjustment-mechanism-cbam-council-and-parliament-strike-a-deal-on-its-simplification/?
de Melo, J. (2011). Climate Change Policies and the World Trading System (No. B37). FERDI Policy Brief.
Dellink, R., Hwang, H., Lanzi, E., & Chateau, J. (2017). International trade consequences of climate change.
European Commission. (2023). Fit for 55: Delivering on the proposals. https://commission.europa.eu/topics/climate-action/delivering-european-green-deal/fit-55-delivering-proposals_en?
European Commission. (2025, October 20). Officially published: Simplifications for the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM). https://taxation-customs.ec.europa.eu/news/officially-published-simplifications-carbon-border-adjustment-mechanism-cbam-2025-10-20_en?
European Commission. (n.d.). Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism. https://taxation-customs.ec.europa.eu/carbon-border-adjustment-mechanism_en?
Fang, M. M. (2025). In Pursuit of Decarbonization: The European Union Batteries Regulation and the World Trade Organization Law. In The WTO as Major Driver of Sustainable Development and Its Reform Process (pp. 175-185). Bologna University Press.
Farrokhi, F., & Lashkaripour, A. (2025). Can trade policy mitigate climate change?. Econometrica, 93(5), 1561-1599.
Galeotti, M., & Kemfert, C. (2004). Interactions between climate and trade policies: a survey. J. World Trade, 38, 701.
Hasanbeigi, A., Springer, C., & Chobthiangtham, P. (2025). The Impact of the EU CBAM on Global Steel Trade.
International Energy Agency. (2023). Energy Technology Perspectives 2023. IEA. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/a86b480e-2b03-4e25-bae1-da1395e0b620/EnergyTechnologyPerspectives2023.pdf
Keohane, R. O., & Victor, D. G. (2011). The regime complex for climate change. Perspectives on politics, 9(1), 7-23.
Leal-Arcas, R. (2019). Trade redemption: How trade agreements can help decarbonize the economy. The European Union Renewable Energy Transition, Wolters Kluwer, 77-125.
Peñasco, C., Anadón, L. D., & Verdolini, E. (2021). Systematic review of the outcomes and trade-offs of ten types of decarbonization policy instruments. Nature Climate Change, 11(3), 257-265.
Regulation (EU) 2023/956 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 10 May 2023 establishing a carbon border adjustment mechanism. (2023). Official Journal of the European Union. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2023/956/oj/eng?
Rey, J. R. C., Mateos-Pedrero, C., Longo, A., Rijo, B., Brito, P., Ferreira, P., & Nobre, C. (2024). Renewable hydrogen from biomass: technological pathways and economic perspectives. Energies, 17(14), 3530.
Taylor, M. S., & Copeland, B. R. (2013). Trade and the environment: theory and evidence. Princeton University Press.
Trujillo, E. (2018). Trade Considerations for Decarbonization Strategies.
Van Asselt, H. (2017). Climate change and trade policy interactions: Implications of regionalism. OECD Trade and Environment Working Papers, 2017(3), 0_1.
Weber, C. L., & Peters, G. P. (2009). Climate change policy and international trade: Policy considerations in the US. Energy Policy, 37(2), 432-440.
World Bank Group. (2024). Iran, Islamic Rep. – Trade summary. World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS).
https://wits.worldbank.org/countrysnapshot/IRN
World Bank Group. (2024). Iran, Islamic Rep. trade summary and partners data. WITS – World Integrated Trade Solution. https://wits.worldbank.org/countrysnapshot/IRN
Yamano, N. (2025). The potential effects of the EU CBAM along the supply chain. OECD. https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/publications/reports/2025/01/carbon-border-adjustments_b9049067/e8c3d060-en.pdf